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Pretty confident that it's 1.5% base odds after encountering 1 Pokemon of that species.

I like the idea of a perma-weather clause, but still allowing weather creating moves. I think the main problem is that playing a weather team has little drawbacks and huge benefits. While it's just a small change, perhaps the drawback of having to use a turn to start your weather and it not...

7/10. Decent battle, interested team idea, though, which I thought was cool.