no wayturns out it's easier to say who's gonna win when you've seen who's been playing well.
its scary how accurate greedys predicts were. i think hes on another level honestlyView attachment 565554
Starring: LeChonk O'Neal, Regggie Johning, Kaboom "The Jet" Smith, and Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb
We in the Little Cup community have felt a lack of quality predictions for LC matches from non-LC players. No more "Dunno who X is" and "Y player is supposed to be good I think?". Therefore, a few of us have decided to come together and provide the highest quality shitpost. To be perfectly honest, we've followed the team records as closely as the OU players follow the LC games. We aren't here to provide commentary on the Gliscor PP stall wars, we prefer our games to max out at 30 turns and to be decided by a Mienfoo High Jump Kick miss. Without further ado, our TNT-style broadcast coverage of the Little Cup games this week.
LeChonk O'Neal: Eric's first big test in SCL. Tazz, as the better player, should be able to bring something standard and win convincingly. 65-35 Tazz favored.
Reggie Johning: Tazz has been displaying both great play and great teams, having only lost Osh so far. Eric is undefeated so far, but his opponents up to this point only have a combined 1 win. This will be his hardest opponent so far. I give the edge to Tazz, who has much better support and has shown his strength with a stronger schedule.
The Jet: Tutor vs tutee meeting on the biggest stage. Both players are off to impressive starts with, Eric boasting an undefeated record. But, his schedule has been of questionable strength, especially when compared to Tazz's. Overall I think Tazz has been cleaner in his games, and the dark horse duo of Eric and Drifting have to flex their creative muscles to pull one out. 70/30 Tazz.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: I think a lot of people are undermining the results that Éric has put up this season, being one of two currently undefeated players in this stacked LC pool is no easy feat. With probably his toughest opponent yet in tazz, I'm still predicting a 60/40 Éric because he will have an amazing matchup through his prep, and carry his advantage all the way to a victory.
LeChonk O'Neal: Wish I had thoughts on this one. Hacker has no building creativity and will likely load some basic shit and still win because Wail and KSG try to get cute in the teambuilder. 59-41 Hacker favored.
Reggie Johning: Wail is coming off a close loss against Eric in the previous week, and I'm glad he's getting another shot as his SV plays like he did during LCPL. Hacker, a top player in his own right, is also one of the most prolific builders of SV and has kept this up for the DLC meta, even if he's had an average start at 2-2. I'll give Hacker the win here in a close one based on a builder's edge, but will be rooting for my LCPL teammate in Wail.
The Jet: Hacker is the newest of the LCers in SCL, and looks to make a splash with a price tag attached. It's unfortunately been a bumpy start, but with a win under his belt he can try to carry this momentum. Wail isn't a new face to the big stage, being in SCL 1 and SSD 4, but still has to prove themselves in post-DLC SV. Subbing in for KSG and hungry for their first win, we'll see the best they have. Giving the edge to Hacker here off more familiarity with the gen, but its close. 55/45.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: Two players who are not living up to personal expectations stand in the way of each other's comeback in SCL. Wail is the starter this week after a nail-biting loss to Éric, hoping to bounce back for a strong push for the postseason. Hacker aims to get into Smogon and program all of his High Jump Kicks max-roll citing, bringing his record to a solid 3-2. As several of my cohosts said, this will be one of the closer matches this week but I'm taking Wail 55/45 as clever defensive teras on his team will give him the final push needed for a win.
And now, a word from our sponsors on this 30-second break. Thanks to DreamyFleur for our incredible line of clothing, and grape tylenol for the Mienfoo, Munchlax, and Cubone art used!
LeChonk O'Neal: Flat out haven't seen Elfu win an LC battle in 4 months. I'm not sure Collette is good at SVLC, but with her and Drifting Ego-Jerking each other up in the LC Discord, she might know what she's doing. 63-37 Collette favored.
Reggie Johning: I have not seen Elfuseon play in ages, and while Collette only just made her first LC SCL (1-0 in NU) start last week, she played quite well and has kept up with the meta. Both are strong players but bolding Collette here.
The Jet: Collette has taken the driver's seat from TKO after a quick detour to NU, and looked promising in their first tour match of this meta. Expecting very tight gameplay, and a fairly standard team. Elfu on the other hand is picking up a slot marred by questionable team choices as their 3rd player to fill the position. Expectations are low, but without much to lose, Elfu has room to experiment and pull the first win for their team. 60/40 Collette.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: Elfuseon was once a top-tier LC competitor earlier this generation, but has recently struggled to recapture the magic in the newer iterations of the tier. He's hoping to bring the Technical Machines their first LC win this season, but his opponent Collette will do her best to stop that. She has very little history with SV LC as the majority of her recent team tours are in the older gens, but her win last week shows she isn't lost to time. Since I think both players have equal knowledge on the intricacies of SV LC, I'm taking Collette 60/40 as in my opinion she's the better player.
LeChonk O'Neal: I don't know if dcae will even end up playing this match. If subbed in, Cam is not good at LC. Eniigma 60-40 favored.
Reggie Johning: Eniigma and dcae are both good players, but are struggling up to this point. Eniigma's teams have been solid with some interesting but sound ideas, and dcae has brought screens twice. I think Eniigma's team is more likely to cook up some heat for the week, and thus will bold Eniigma. Looking forward to the Phanpy vs Chingling showdown.
The Jet: One of the goats of Little Cup and noted hater of Tera, Dcae hasn't had a showing you'd expect. Motivation is going to be the biggest factor for the rest of the season. Facing a hungry former ladder hero turned LC circuit curb stomper like Eniigma, this could be the most difficult-to-predict game of the season. Could be Dcae looking to reestablish himself, showing Eniigma the strength of an established tour player, or Eniigma's eclectic teambuilding making a statement. 50/50.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: Two players I have a lot of respect for with their grind of the game. While both are rumored to have effort concerns, I have faith that both players are going to give it their all in order to turn around the latter half of the season. With this in mind, I'm taking dcae 55/45 with this game being the start of his miracle run to the playoffs.
To Laroxyl: This is an extremely big shit post do not take us seriously or hate us afterwards
Thank you for tuning in on today's show of Little Cup in SCL, we'll catch you soon for coverage of Week 6!
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great job with your analyses, its helping me improve and really understand how great players think tysm!!!my game
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this week i wanted to go with a fire resist since ive been lacking in that department lol i figured shellder would be a good idea since i think its also a v strong mon in this metagame, easy to set up and hard to stop. however, i very much struggled all week, both deciding its set and its teammates. tinkatink felt like the better vull check here, since knock would be very valuable and it deals with gothita, stunky and opp glimmet better, but glimmets spikes work super well in tandem with shellder. i ultimately decided to go w glimmet bc spikes had been working so well in test gamesView attachment 566865
i noticed a matchup i hard to work around really well. stunky is able to pressure me a lot and also stop shellder from sweeping with sucker punch. also, mag wouldnt be nearly as useful as i hoped itd be, since it not only has to deal with a mienfoo foongus mudbray core to check it, but an opposing magnemite as well to trap it if i ever manage to kill anything w flash cannon (my only spammable move otherwise).
i figured i needed to play aggressive with my vullaby, knocking the mudbray off and hopefully killing the stunky so my shellder can win.regardless of the outcome, this is another game im happy with how i played it. it wasnt perfect, i dont aim for perfect. this is my first big tournament, and im playing much much better than i myself expected. ggs to tazz and ggs to osh too. hes my opponent this week, and as some of you may know, hes my eternal nemesis and i have never won vs him and never will, even if he doesnt know that lolView attachment 566866
most people disagree with what i did here. stunky switched into my vullaby brave bird, and i switched out into my magnemite. i thought his play would be either play rough or gunk shot, as they are the only moves to actually threaten vullaby (2hkoing evio and ohkoing otherwise). at the same time, as i said earlier, i put 0 value on my magnemite and a lot on my vullaby, so it just felt natural to switch out into it. if it dies i couldnt care less, and if it doesnt die then better for me. i felt like i couldnt risk my best wincon just because. however everyone else disagrees, saying tazz was obviously gonna knock off there because it was a better midground into everything i could do. like, i understand knock gets you more average reward, but gunk shot/play rough deals with the actual problem you want to deal with: my vullaby. if i get hit by it im basically dead, while if i get hit by knock off i couldnt care less. if vullaby is my win condition i just didnt wanna risk that. yet, in hindsight, i wish i had stayed in, and i can empathize with the sentiment of knock being a better midground. idk why, bc i felt like tazz is a scout person and he would know, but knock is a way better move if you only have eviolite in mind for some reason. i dont actually disagree with past me tho, i 100% believe staying in was a bad, risky play for no reason, even if magnemite wouldve proven more useful later on.
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now this is where i disagree with past me. so heres the scenario: tazz has a 1 turn asleep mienfoo, and a full health mudbray and obvious scarf magnemite in the back. in my mind, there are only three possible scenarios then: he stays in tryna wake up and damage me, he goes mudbray and plays a tera mindgame with tera steel/dragon or go magnemite. past me used shell smash, as it felt free and thought "i can just use protect to scout mudbrays tera, its the perfect time to set up". however hidnsight me agrees with the general consensus: liquidation here is better. he has very little reason to stay in, as it would just give me more boosts lol. even if he does, theres no guarantee he wakes up this turn, since hes only been asleep for one turn. if he does switch out however, theres two possibilities: going mudbray on shell smash or magnemite on liquidation. if he did go magnemite on liquidation not only would i get free damage on it, but i also would just be able to go mienfoo, knock and turn and repeat the process, so he would get nothing done. if he does go mudbray, id get like 60% damage on it, which would just win me the game. id be able to actually set up on it later and kill it, and win after that. i didnt identify tera water as his choice, and that cost me the game. it is actually a very good tera for mudbray, so props to him. however, had i only been a little more patience, or rather had i identified i could afford to be so, i would have taken this game too.
got the thrills alone clears all of red velvet sorry pokebroEric vs Hacker
- Better player + Better name + Not a Twice stan
congrats on your win Ericgot the thrills alone clears all of red velvet sorry pokebro
no analysis this week guys mondays the only day i can do it lol